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Boeing Forecasts Pilots and Technicians Needed by 2036

Boeing released its 2017 Pilot and Technician Outlook at EAA AirVenture Oshkosh and projects a demand for more than 1.2 million pilots and technicians over the next 20 years.

Now in its eighth year, the outlook is a respected industry study that forecasts the 20 year demand for crews to support the world’s growing commercial airplane fleet.

Boeing forecasts that between 2017 and 2036, the world’s commercial aviation industry will require approximately:

• 637,000 new commercial airline pilots
• 648,000 new commercial airline maintenance technicians
• 839,000 new cabin crew members

The 2017 outlook shows a slight increase of 3.2 percent for pilots over the 2016 outlook, and a slight decrease in the need for airline maintenance technicians (4.6 percent), primarily driven by the reduction in maintenance hours required on the 737 MAX.

Projected demand for new pilots, technicians and cabin crew by global region for the next 20 years is approximately:

Boeing Foresees 41,000 Aircraft Deliveries Through 2036

 

Boeing has raised its forecast for new airplane demand, projecting the need for 41,030 new airplanes over the next 20 years valued at $6.1 trillion dollars.

The company’s annual Current Market Outlook (CMO) was released at the Paris Air Show, with total airplane demand rising 3.6 percent over last year’s forecast.

“Passenger traffic has been very strong so far this year, and we expect to see it grow 4.7 percent each year over the next two decades,” said Randy Tinseth, vice president of Marketing, Boeing Commercial Airplanes. 

“The market is especially hungry for single-aisle airplanes as more people start traveling by air.”

The single-aisle segment will see the most growth over the forecast, fueled by low-cost carriers and emerging markets. 29,530 new airplanes will be needed in this segment, an increase of almost 5 percent over last year.

The forecast for the wide body segment includes 9,130 airplanes, with a large wave of potential replacement demand beginning early in the next decade. With more airlines shifting to small and medium/large wide body airplanes like the 787 and 777X, the primary demand for very large airplanes going forward will be in the cargo market. 

''Boeing projects the need for 920 new production wide body freighters over the forecast period.''

The Asia market, including China, will continue to lead the way in total airplane deliveries over the next two decades. Worldwide, 57 percent of the new deliveries will be for airline growth, while 43 percent will be for replacement of older airplanes with new, more fuel efficient jets.

''Boeing’s Current Market Outlook is the longest running jet forecast and regarded as the most comprehensive analysis of the aviation industry.''